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Impacts of Lowering Coverage Levels and Using Harvest Price Exclusion on...

In 2018, some farmers are considering lowering coverage levels or eliminating crop insurance on soybeans. A primary motive for doing so is reducing cash flows in these times of negative and short cash...

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Implied Probabilities for Corn and Soybeans Prices in 2018

As crop insurance and crop planting decisions are being made for the 2018 crop year, it is useful to assess possible springtime and harvest pricing information, and understand the impact of market...

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Crop Insurance Decisions for 2018

The price discovery period used to determine projected prices and volatility factors for federally sponsored corn and soybean crop insurance products for 2018 is completed. For the majority of the...

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Premium Subsidy and Insured U.S. Acres

Cost of Federal Crop Insurance is an on-going farm policy issue. President Trump proposed several changes to reduce its cost in his Fiscal Year 2019 budget. The changes include reducing the all...

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Crop Insurance Performance in 2017

In 2017, the Federal crop insurance program had low insurance payments relative to total premium. The 2017 loss ratio for the entire Federal program was .42, well below the targeted loss ratio of...

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Premium Subsidy and Insured U.S. Acres: Differential Impact by Crop

Cost of Federal Crop Insurance is an on-going farm policy issue.  In his Fiscal Year 2019 budget, President Trump proposed a 14 percentage point reduction in the insurance program subsidy.  A farmdoc...

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Farm Safety Net for 2018

In earlier articles, we projected earnings for a case farm in west central Indiana, and examined the sensitivity of earnings and the farm safety net to changes in price and yield. This article updates...

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Updated Probabilities for Corn and Soybean Harvest Prices for 2018

The purpose of this farmdoc daily post is to evaluate the market’s current implied price distribution for fall-time corn and soybean prices, and assess the implication for possible levels of crop revenue.

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2018 Harvest Prices and Crop Insurance Payments in Illinois

The 2018 harvest prices used to determine revenue on crop insurance products are $3.68 per bushel for corn and $8.60 per bushel for soybeans. While both the corn and soybean harvest prices are below...

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Crop Insurance Decisions for 2019

The price discovery period used to determined projected prices and volatility factors for federally sponsored corn and soybean crop insurance products for 2019 is completed. For the majority of the...

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Crop Insurance Decisions for 2020

The 2020 price discovery period used to determine projected prices and volatility factors for Federally-sponsored corn and soybean crop insurance products is completed for areas with a 3/15 sales...

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Expected Harvest Prices for Soybeans in 2020

We developed a statistical model that projects the 2020 harvest price for soybeans, given a national soybean yield and average of May futures prices. This projection represents the harvest price used...

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Crop Insurance Performance in 2019

Late and prevented planting were prevalent across the Midwest in 2019. Prevented planting payments made up about one-third of total crop insurance payments, and those counties with large amounts of...

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Years in Which Enhance Coverage Option Pays

Previous articles on Enhanced Coverage Option (ECO) provide a description of the product, evaluate the size of premiums, and give historical frequencies of payments. Herein we illustrate the years in...

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Release of the 2021 Crop Insurance Decision Tool

The 2021 Crop Insurance Decision Tool has been released to aid in crop insurance decisions. It is a Microsoft Excel workbook that can be downloaded from farmdoc. One sheet in this workbook provides...

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Higher 2021 Crop Insurance Premiums and 2021 Decisions

Crop insurance premiums for all products will likely be much higher in 2021 than in 2020 because projected prices and volatilities will be higher in 2021 compared to 2020. These higher premiums could...

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Crop Insurance Decisions for 2021

The 2021 price discovery period used to determine projected prices and volatility factors for Federally-sponsored corn and soybean crop insurance products is completed for areas with a 3/15 sales...

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Crop Insurance Decisions for 2022

The 2022 price discovery period used to determine projected prices and volatility factors for Federally sponsored corn and soybean crop insurance products is completed for areas with a 3/15 sales…

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The 2021 Crop Insurance Loss Performance

The Risk Management Agency (RMA) recently realized 2021 county yields, thereby allowing payments to be made on area plans of insurance, including Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO) and Enhanced...

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Corn and Soybean Prevent Plant and the Dakotas

Since 2007, North and South Dakota have accounted for roughly 35% of US corn and soybean prevent plant acres vs. 9% and 12%, respectively, of acres planted to corn and…

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